DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Iserlohn Roosters — Nurnberg Ice Tigers

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Model prediction for 25 October

Iserlohn Roosters35%
Draw in regulation21%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Nurnberg Ice Tigers are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Nurnberg Ice Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iserlohn Roosters — Nurnberg Ice Tigers2.6–2.9
Iserlohn Roosters to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Nurnberg Ice Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Iserlohn Roosters

  • 11.10Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2 OT
  • 09.10away · Straubing Tigers4:11
  • 04.10Krefeld Pinguine3:2
  • 01.10away · Adler Mannheim1:6
  • 27.09away · Eisbaren Berlin0:4

Nurnberg Ice Tigers

  • 11.10away · Kolner2:4
  • 09.10Adler Mannheim2:5
  • 04.10away · Eisbaren Berlin1:4
  • 02.10Schwenninger5:0
  • 27.09Straubing Tigers2:3 SO

Head to head

  • 25.02.2026Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Iserlohn Roosters1:4
  • 02.01.2026Iserlohn Roosters — Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:3
  • 26.10.2025Nurnberg Ice Tigers — Iserlohn Roosters2:1
  • 19.09.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Nurnberg Ice Tigers6:5 SO
  • 28.01.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:3 OT

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →