DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Bremerhaven 53%, ERC Ingolstadt 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 5.5 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 52%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.8 and 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt | 2.8–2.7 | |
| Bremerhaven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 52% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bremerhaven
- Bremerhaven goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Eisbaren Berlin0:3
- 09.10away · Augsburger Panther0:3
- 04.10Frankfurt Lowen2:1
- 02.10away · Straubing Tigers3:4
- 27.09away · Grizzly Wolfsburg2:3
- 11.10Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Munchen5:1
- 04.10Kolner3:6
- 02.10away · Krefeld Pinguine1:3
- 27.09Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
Head to head
- 06.03.2026Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt2:3
- 02.01.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Bremerhaven2:3
- 23.11.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Bremerhaven5:2
- 28.09.2025Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt5:2
- 02.02.2025Bremerhaven — ERC Ingolstadt1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Iserlohn Roosters | 8 | 1 | -17 | 6 |
DEL on the same day
- Frankfurt LowenGrizzly Wolfsburgpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.4
- SchwenningerEisbaren Berlinpreliminary37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.5
- Augsburger PantherStraubing Tigerspreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:46.0
- Iserlohn RoostersNurnberg Ice Tigerspreliminary45552The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.4
- Krefeld PinguineMunchenpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →