DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Schwenninger — ERC Ingolstadt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
ERC Ingolstadt are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 56%.
Why
- ERC Ingolstadt are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Schwenninger — ERC Ingolstadt | 2.6–3.1 | |
| Schwenninger to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| ERC Ingolstadt to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 56% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Schwenninger
- Schwenninger goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Munchen3:4
- 09.10away · Kolner4:1
- 04.10Straubing Tigers2:4
- 02.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers0:5
- 27.09away · Krefeld Pinguine2:5
- 11.10Frankfurt Lowen2:3 SO
- 09.10away · Munchen5:1
- 04.10Kolner3:6
- 02.10away · Krefeld Pinguine1:3
- 27.09Adler Mannheim3:2 OT
Head to head
- 25.01.2026ERC Ingolstadt — Schwenninger4:1
- 30.12.2025Schwenninger — ERC Ingolstadt5:3
- 07.12.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Schwenninger5:2
- 19.10.2025Schwenninger — ERC Ingolstadt2:4
- 07.03.2025ERC Ingolstadt — Schwenninger0:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Frankfurt Lowen | 8 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 11 | ERC Ingolstadt | 8 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Bremerhaven | 8 | 3 | -7 | 9 |
| 13 | Iserlohn Roosters | 8 | 1 | -17 | 6 |
| 14, Relegation | Schwenninger | 8 | 1 | -16 | 5 |
DEL on the same day
- 37632The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.8
- 61391The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.3
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:25.5
- 37632The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.6
- 37632The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 2:45.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →