KHL · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK
Shanghai — Tractor Chelyabinsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Tractor Chelyabinsk are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- Tractor Chelyabinsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Shanghai — Tractor Chelyabinsk | 2.3–2.8 | |
| Shanghai to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Tractor Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Shanghai
- Shanghai goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Dinamo Minsk2:3
- 07.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:2
- 05.10away · Lada5:0
- 03.10away · Cherepovets1:2 OT
- 30.09Magnitogorsk4:1
- 10.10Novosibirsk1:2
- 08.10Khabarovsk0:2
- 06.10Khabarovsk1:2
- 02.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 30.09away · Spartak Moscow4:2
Head to head
- 26.11.2025Tractor Chelyabinsk — Shanghai9:0
- 04.10.2025Shanghai — Tractor Chelyabinsk5:4 OT
- 28.01.2025Shanghai — Tractor Chelyabinsk4:3 OT
- 23.11.2024Tractor Chelyabinsk — Shanghai1:4
- 22.12.2023Shanghai — Tractor Chelyabinsk2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | SKA St. Petersburg | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
- 65351The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.8
- 52481The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
- 60401The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →