SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Skelleftea — Djurgarden
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Skelleftea are clear favourites: 79% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Skelleftea — Djurgarden | 3.5–1.8 | |
| Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 79% | |
| Djurgarden to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 21% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Skelleftea
- Skelleftea goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Linkoping5:1
- 08.10Orebro2:1
- 03.10away · Frolunda2:4
- 01.10Farjestad0:4
- 26.09away · Timra2:3 OT
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Djurgarden — Skelleftea2:3
- 28.12.2025Skelleftea — Djurgarden2:3 SO
- 15.11.2025Skelleftea — Djurgarden4:0
- 13.09.2025Djurgarden — Skelleftea5:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Brynas | 8 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Vaxjo | 8 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Djurgarden | 8 | 2 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | HV 71 | 8 | 1 | -5 | 8 |
SHL on the same day
- IF BjorklovenMalmopreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
- OrebroBrynaspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- RogleFrolundapreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- TimraFarjestadpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- VaxjoLuleapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →