SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Orebro — Brynas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Orebro 47%, Brynas 53% including overtime.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orebro — Brynas | 2.5–2.6 | |
| Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Orebro
- Orebro goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · HV 712:3
- 08.10IF Bjorkloven4:1
- 03.10away · Malmo0:1
- 01.10away · Frolunda1:2
- 29.09Timra1:0
Head to head
- 12.03.2026Orebro — Brynas3:1
- 28.12.2025Brynas — Orebro5:4 OT
- 28.10.2025Orebro — Brynas2:3
- 20.09.2025Brynas — Orebro4:3 SO
- 01.02.2025Brynas — Orebro6:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Brynas | 8 | 4 | +5 | 12 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Rogle | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Orebro | 8 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Malmo | 7 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
SHL on the same day
- IF BjorklovenMalmopreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.1
- RogleFrolundapreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- SkellefteaDjurgardenpreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
- TimraFarjestadpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- VaxjoLuleapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →