SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
IF Bjorkloven — Malmo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
IF Bjorkloven are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- IF Bjorkloven are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: IF Bjorkloven — Malmo | 2.8–2.4 | |
| IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Malmo to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap IF Bjorkloven
- IF Bjorkloven goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Frolunda3:2
- 08.10away · Brynas1:4
- 03.10away · Linkoping3:2
- 01.10Vaxjo4:2
- 29.09HV 714:2
- 10.10away · Farjestad2:6
- 08.10away · Lulea3:2
- 03.10Brynas1:0
- 01.10away · Skelleftea3:4 OT
- 26.09Frolunda1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Orebro | 8 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Malmo | 7 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lulea | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
SHL on the same day
- OrebroBrynaspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- RogleFrolundapreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.5
- SkellefteaDjurgardenpreliminary79211The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3
- TimraFarjestadpreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- VaxjoLuleapreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →