KHL · Saturday, 3 October, MSK · Bolshoy Ice Dome
Sochi — Nizhny Novgorod
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0:6Came true
In short
Final score 0:6: the model's most likely outcome, Nizhny Novgorod to win (68% incl. overtime), came true.
Nizhny Novgorod are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 47%.
Why
- Nizhny Novgorod are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2–3.1 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 47% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 53% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
- 28.09away · Shanghai1:4
- 26.09away · Cherepovets1:3
- 24.09away · Nizhny Novgorod0:3
- 20.09Novosibirsk1:5
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
- 28.09Salavat Ufa0:3
- 24.09Sochi3:0
- 22.09Avangard Omsk5:1
- 18.09CSKA Moscow2:3
Head to head
- 24.09.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Sochi3:0
- 08.03.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Sochi4:3
- 01.03.2026Sochi — Nizhny Novgorod5:1
- 23.12.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Sochi4:1
- 12.11.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Sochi5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
Next matches
- Dinamo MinskNizhny Novgorod5 October · KHL65351The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%1:2SOFinal score 1:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.2
- SochiSpartak Moscow7 October · KHL28722The most likely outcome came true: 219%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:3.5.2
KHL on the same day
- 66341The most likely outcome came true: 120%2:1OTFinal score 2:1 in overtime. Model's score: 4:1.5.5
- 59411The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:1.4.2
- 70301The most likely outcome came true: 119%6:5SOFinal score 6:5 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 2:1.4.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →