Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Soligorsk — Baranavichy

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Model prediction and result

4:2Came true
Soligorsk79%
Draw in regulation12%
Baranavichy9%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Soligorsk to win (89% incl. overtime), came true.

Soligorsk are clear favourites: 89% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.

Why

  • Soligorsk are more dangerous in attack: 4.2 expected goals against 1.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Soligorsk — Baranavichy4.2–1.6
Soligorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)89%
Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout)11%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)58%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)42%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Soligorsk
  • Soligorsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Soligorsk

  • 30.09away · Slavutych1:5
  • 28.09away · Slavutych3:4 SO
  • 23.09Mogilev4:1
  • 21.09Mogilev3:0
  • 18.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha7:1

Baranavichy

  • 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0
  • 28.09Yunost Minsk5:2
  • 23.09Zhlobin2:1
  • 21.09Zhlobin2:3 SO
  • 18.09Slavutych0:6

Head to head

  • 01.03.2026Soligorsk — Baranavichy4:0
  • 27.02.2026Soligorsk — Baranavichy3:2 SO
  • 18.11.2025Baranavichy — Soligorsk0:2
  • 16.11.2025Baranavichy — Soligorsk0:2
  • 31.01.2025Soligorsk — Baranavichy7:3

Next match

  • SoligorskBaranavichy5 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 113%Final score 4:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.9

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:2.4.9
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 6:3. Model's score: 4:1.4.8
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →