Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 3 October, MSK
Soligorsk — Baranavichy
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:2Came true
In short
Final score 4:2: the model's most likely outcome, Soligorsk to win (89% incl. overtime), came true.
Soligorsk are clear favourites: 89% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Soligorsk are more dangerous in attack: 4.2 expected goals against 1.6.
Facts
- Baranavichy: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Soligorsk 5 wins, Baranavichy 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Soligorsk — Baranavichy | 4.2–1.6 | |
| Soligorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 89% | |
| Baranavichy to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 11% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Soligorsk
- Soligorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.09away · Slavutych1:5
- 28.09away · Slavutych3:4 SO
- 23.09Mogilev4:1
- 21.09Mogilev3:0
- 18.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha7:1
- 30.09Yunost Minsk5:0
- 28.09Yunost Minsk5:2
- 23.09Zhlobin2:1
- 21.09Zhlobin2:3 SO
- 18.09Slavutych0:6
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Soligorsk — Baranavichy4:0
- 27.02.2026Soligorsk — Baranavichy3:2 SO
- 18.11.2025Baranavichy — Soligorsk0:2
- 16.11.2025Baranavichy — Soligorsk0:2
- 31.01.2025Soligorsk — Baranavichy7:3
Next match
- SoligorskBaranavichy5 October · Belarus Extraleague88121The most likely outcome did not happen: 113%4:5Final score 4:5. Model's score: 4:1.5.9
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 53471The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:2.4.9
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 122%6:3Final score 6:3. Model's score: 4:1.4.8
- 81191The most likely outcome came true: 116%4:3Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →