Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Slavutych — Vitebsk

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Model prediction and result

6:3Came true
Slavutych50%
Draw in regulation22%
Vitebsk28%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 6:3: the model's most likely outcome, Slavutych to win (63% incl. overtime), came true.

Slavutych are clear favourites: 63% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • Slavutych are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.1.

Facts

  • Slavutych: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Slavutych 2 wins, Vitebsk 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Slavutych — Vitebsk2.7–2.1
Slavutych to win (incl. OT and shootout)63%
Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)37%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Slavutych
  • Slavutych goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Slavutych

  • 30.09Soligorsk5:1
  • 28.09Soligorsk4:3 SO
  • 23.09away · Yunost Minsk4:1
  • 21.09away · Yunost Minsk5:3
  • 18.09away · Baranavichy6:0

Vitebsk

  • 30.09away · Mogilev2:0
  • 28.09away · Mogilev3:4
  • 24.09Lokomotiv Orsha4:1
  • 22.09Lokomotiv Orsha3:0
  • 18.09Novopolotsk4:2

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Slavutych — Vitebsk2:1 SO
  • 09.02.2026Slavutych — Vitebsk1:3
  • 06.11.2025Vitebsk — Slavutych3:0
  • 04.11.2025Vitebsk — Slavutych0:1
  • 01.02.2025Vitebsk — Slavutych6:3

Next match

  • SlavutychVitebsk5 October · Belarus Extraleague
    1The most likely outcome came true: 119%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.6

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 1:4. Model's score: 3:2.4.9
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 112%Final score 4:2. Model's score: 4:1.5.9
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 116%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 4:1.5.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →