DEL (German hockey league) · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Eisstadion am Pulverturm

Straubing Tigers — Iserlohn Roosters

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Model prediction and result

11:4Came true
Straubing Tigers58%
Draw in regulation20%
Iserlohn Roosters23%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 11:4: the model's most likely outcome, Straubing Tigers to win (70% incl. overtime), came true.

Straubing Tigers are clear favourites: 70% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.4 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • Straubing Tigers are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Straubing Tigers — Iserlohn Roosters3.3–2.2
Straubing Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)70%
Iserlohn Roosters to win (incl. OT and shootout)30%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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Form

Straubing Tigers

  • 04.10away · Schwenninger4:2
  • 02.10Bremerhaven4:3
  • 27.09away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers3:2 SO
  • 25.09ERC Ingolstadt4:1
  • 20.09Krefeld Pinguine3:6

Iserlohn Roosters

  • 04.10Krefeld Pinguine3:2
  • 01.10away · Adler Mannheim1:6
  • 27.09away · Eisbaren Berlin0:4
  • 24.09Augsburger Panther2:3 SO
  • 20.09away · Bremerhaven1:2

Head to head

  • 25.01.2026Iserlohn Roosters — Straubing Tigers2:4
  • 28.12.2025Straubing Tigers — Iserlohn Roosters0:2
  • 07.12.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Straubing Tigers4:0
  • 17.10.2025Straubing Tigers — Iserlohn Roosters2:0
  • 19.02.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Straubing Tigers1:4

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsMunchen8411225–24+115
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsStraubing Tigers8410332–24+814
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →