DEL (German hockey league) · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Eissporthalle

Iserlohn Roosters — Grizzly Wolfsburg

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Model prediction and result

3:2 OTMissed
Iserlohn Roosters35%
Draw in regulation22%
Grizzly Wolfsburg43%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 3:2 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (55% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Grizzly Wolfsburg are favourites: 55% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Iserlohn Roosters — Grizzly Wolfsburg2.5–2.8
Iserlohn Roosters to win (incl. OT and shootout)45%
Grizzly Wolfsburg to win (incl. OT and shootout)55%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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Form

Iserlohn Roosters

  • 09.10away · Straubing Tigers4:11
  • 04.10Krefeld Pinguine3:2
  • 01.10away · Adler Mannheim1:6
  • 27.09away · Eisbaren Berlin0:4
  • 24.09Augsburger Panther2:3 SO

Grizzly Wolfsburg

  • 09.10away · Eisbaren Berlin0:5
  • 04.10Adler Mannheim4:1
  • 02.10away · Augsburger Panther2:5
  • 27.09Bremerhaven3:2
  • 25.09Schwenninger3:4 OT

Head to head

  • 16.01.2026Iserlohn Roosters — Grizzly Wolfsburg2:1 OT
  • 23.12.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Iserlohn Roosters4:1
  • 01.11.2025Iserlohn Roosters — Grizzly Wolfsburg3:2 OT
  • 24.10.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Iserlohn Roosters3:1
  • 02.02.2025Grizzly Wolfsburg — Iserlohn Roosters3:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAugsburger Panther8410327–22+514
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsGrizzly Wolfsburg8312226–27-113
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
12Bremerhaven8300513–20-79
13Iserlohn Roosters8111517–34-176
14, RelegationSchwenninger8110618–34-165

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

DEL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →