NHL · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Utah Mammoth — Minnesota Wild
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Utah Mammoth are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.7.
Facts
- League table: Utah Mammoth — No. 7, 10 pts; Minnesota Wild — No. 9, 9 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Utah Mammoth 4 wins, Minnesota Wild 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Minnesota Wild | 2.9–2.7 | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Minnesota Wild to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 55% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
- 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
- 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
- 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
- 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
- 14.10away · Winnipeg Jets2:5
- 13.10Vegas Golden Knights4:2
- 11.10away · Florida Panthers4:1
- 09.10away · Tampa Bay Lightning2:3
- 07.10away · Buffalo Sabres2:3 OT
Head to head
- 11.03.2026Minnesota Wild — Utah Mammoth5:0
- 28.02.2026Utah Mammoth — Minnesota Wild5:2
- 26.10.2025Minnesota Wild — Utah Mammoth2:6
- 28.02.2025Utah Mammoth — Minnesota Wild6:1
- 24.01.2025Minnesota Wild — Utah Mammoth0:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
NHL on the same day
- Philadelphia FlyersColumbus Blue Jacketspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.2
- Carolina HurricanesBoston Bruinspreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:15.6
- Chicago BlackhawksLos Angeles Kingspreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Dallas StarsNew Jersey Devilspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.2
- Nashville PredatorsNew York Islanderspreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- St. Louis BluesMontreal Canadienspreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 4:15.4
- Winnipeg JetsFlorida Pantherspreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:45.3
- Anaheim DucksVancouver Canuckspreliminary61391The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →