Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Vaasan Sport — SaiPa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SaiPa are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- SaiPa are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vaasan Sport — SaiPa | 2.1–2.8 | |
| Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| SaiPa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vaasan Sport
- Vaasan Sport goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 07.10Ilves2:1
- 03.10IFK Helsinki2:3 OT
- 26.09Karpat1:2
- 23.09Kiekko-Espoo0:1 OT
- 19.09away · Karpat2:3
Head to head
- 08.02.2026Vaasan Sport — SaiPa0:4
- 07.02.2026Vaasan Sport — SaiPa2:3 OT
- 04.10.2025SaiPa — Vaasan Sport5:1
- 03.10.2025SaiPa — Vaasan Sport5:4 OT
- 22.01.2025Vaasan Sport — SaiPa3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | SaiPa | 11 | 5 | +10 | 20 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lukko | 11 | 6 | +6 | 20 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | -11 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Jokerit | 13 | 2 | -17 | 10 |
Liiga on the same day
- JukuritIlvespreliminary38622The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
- KarpatKalPapreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.4
- LukkoTPS Turkupreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- Kiekko-EspooIFK Helsinkipreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →