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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Vida Arena

Vaxjo — Linkoping

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Model prediction and result

0:3Missed
Vaxjo53%
Draw in regulation21%
Linkoping26%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Vaxjo to win (65% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 65% fails in about 35 matches out of 100 on average.

Vaxjo are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Vaxjo are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vaxjo — Linkoping3.0–2.2
Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vaxjo
  • Vaxjo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vaxjo

  • 03.10Rogle3:2
  • 01.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:4
  • 26.09HV 717:5
  • 24.09away · Djurgarden3:4 OT
  • 22.09Malmo4:3 OT

Linkoping

  • 03.10IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 01.10Lulea0:2
  • 26.09away · Rogle1:2 OT
  • 22.09Brynas2:9
  • 19.09Timra3:2

Head to head

  • 26.02.2026Vaxjo — Linkoping3:2
  • 28.12.2025Linkoping — Vaxjo2:3
  • 01.11.2025Vaxjo — Linkoping5:3
  • 18.10.2025Linkoping — Vaxjo0:2
  • 25.02.2025Linkoping — Vaxjo2:3 OT

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVaxjo8211425–30-59
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • OrebroVaxjo10 October · SHL
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%Final score 4:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.1
  • DjurgardenLinkoping10 October · SHL
    1The most likely outcome came true: 123%Final score 5:1. Model's score: 3:1.4.7

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasIF Bjorkloven
    1The most likely outcome came true: 121%Final score 4:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
  • DjurgardenOrebro
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.1
  • LuleaMalmo
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
  • RogleHV 71
    1The most likely outcome came true: 120%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:1.5.0
  • SkellefteaFarjestad
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%Final score 1:5. Model's score: 4:2.5.2
  • TimraFrolunda
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:3.4.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →