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SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Monitor ERP Arena

Brynas — IF Bjorkloven

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Model prediction and result

4:1Came true
Brynas52%
Draw in regulation21%
IF Bjorkloven28%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Brynas to win (64% incl. overtime), came true.

Brynas are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.

Why

  • Brynas are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brynas — IF Bjorkloven3.0–2.3
Brynas to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)49%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Brynas
  • Brynas goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Brynas

  • 03.10away · Malmo0:1
  • 01.10away · Frolunda1:2
  • 29.09Timra1:0
  • 26.09Lulea4:2
  • 22.09away · Linkoping9:2

IF Bjorkloven

  • 03.10away · Linkoping3:2
  • 01.10Vaxjo4:2
  • 29.09HV 714:2
  • 26.09Farjestad0:5
  • 24.09away · Orebro4:3 OT

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFrolunda8510226–20+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea8411228–21+715
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle8310420–18+211

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

  • HV 71Brynas10 October · SHL
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%Final score 3:2. Model's score: 2:3.5.5
  • IF BjorklovenFrolunda10 October · SHL
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%Final score 3:2. Model's score: 1:3.4.8

SHL on the same day

  • DjurgardenOrebro
    1The most likely outcome came true: 122%Final score 2:1. Model's score: 3:2.5.1
  • LuleaMalmo
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%Final score 2:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
  • RogleHV 71
    1The most likely outcome came true: 120%Final score 4:3. Model's score: 3:1.5.0
  • SkellefteaFarjestad
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%Final score 1:5. Model's score: 4:2.5.2
  • TimraFrolunda
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%Final score 4:1. Model's score: 1:3.4.6
  • VaxjoLinkoping
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%Final score 0:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →