NHL · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights — Los Angeles Kings
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1 OTCame true
In short
Final score 2:1 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Vegas Golden Knights to win (60% incl. overtime), came true.
Vegas Golden Knights are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 6.0.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Vegas Golden Knights are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.3.
Facts
- Vegas Golden Knights: 3 wins in a row; Los Angeles Kings: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Vegas Golden Knights 3 wins, Los Angeles Kings 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vegas Golden Knights — Los Angeles Kings | 2.9–2.3 | |
| Vegas Golden Knights to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 60% | |
| Los Angeles Kings to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 40% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vegas Golden Knights
- Vegas Golden Knights goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10Toronto Maple Leafs4:3 SO
- 07.10away · Seattle Kraken6:2
- 05.10away · Vancouver Canucks3:2
- 03.10Anaheim Ducks3:4
- 30.09Chicago Blackhawks5:2
- 07.10Florida Panthers1:2
- 04.10away · San Jose Sharks4:5 OT
- 01.10away · Colorado Avalanche4:8
- 26.04Colorado Avalanche1:5
- 24.04Colorado Avalanche2:4
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Los Angeles Kings — Vegas Golden Knights4:6
- 06.02.2026Vegas Golden Knights — Los Angeles Kings4:1
- 15.01.2026Los Angeles Kings — Vegas Golden Knights2:3 OT
- 09.10.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Los Angeles Kings5:6 SO
- 10.03.2025Vegas Golden Knights — Los Angeles Kings5:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | New York Rangers | 8 | 6 | +13 | 12 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Vegas Golden Knights | 8 | 6 | +10 | 12 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Edmonton Oilers | 6 | 5 | +11 | 11 |
| 30 | Philadelphia Flyers | 8 | 0 | -21 | 3 |
| 31 | Los Angeles Kings | 5 | 0 | -10 | 2 |
| 32 | Calgary Flames | 6 | 1 | -17 | 2 |
Next matches
- Minnesota WildVegas Golden Knights13 October · NHL48522The most likely outcome did not happen: 224%4:2Final score 4:2. Model's score: 1:4.5.3
- Los Angeles KingsEdmonton Oilers14 October · NHL49512The most likely outcome came true: 223%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.7
NHL on the same day
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 124%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 50502The most likely outcome came true: 223%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:5.5.8
- 29712The most likely outcome came true: 221%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
- 71291The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%3:6Final score 3:6. Model's score: 5:2.6.0
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%1:0SOFinal score 1:0 in a shootout. Model's score: 5:2.6.1
- 63371The most likely outcome came true: 123%3:2SOFinal score 3:2 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:1.5.4
- 41592The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%2:1SOFinal score 2:1 in a shootout. Model's score: 2:5.6.0
- 55451The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →