KHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Fetisov Arena
Vladivostok — Lada
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:3 OTCame true
In short
Final score 4:3 OT: the model's most likely outcome, Vladivostok to win (65% incl. overtime), came true.
Vladivostok are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 42%.
Why
- Vladivostok are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vladivostok — Lada | 2.9–2.1 | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 42% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vladivostok
- Vladivostok goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
- 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
- 01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO
- 27.09Niznekamsk3:5
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
- 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3
- 28.09away · Dinamo Minsk4:5
- 25.09CSKA Moscow0:5
Head to head
- 15.10.2025Vladivostok — Lada6:1
- 05.10.2025Lada — Vladivostok1:2 OT
- 19.10.2024Vladivostok — Lada5:3
- 17.10.2024Vladivostok — Lada1:6
- 07.10.2024Lada — Vladivostok0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
Next matches
- KhabarovskLada12 October · KHL59411The most likely outcome came true: 122%1:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 3:1.4.7
- VladivostokSpartak Moscow16 October · KHL41592The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
KHL on the same day
- 69311The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 3:1.4.8
- 35652The most likely outcome did not happen: 221%5:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 2:4.5.0
- 60401The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%1:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 4:2.5.0
- 53471The most likely outcome came true: 124%6:1Final score 6:1. Model's score: 2:1.4.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →