KHL · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Spartak Moscow are favourites: 59% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Spartak Moscow are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.4.
Facts
- League table: Vladivostok — No. 17, 13 pts; Spartak Moscow — No. 7, 18 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Spartak Moscow: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Vladivostok 1 win, Spartak Moscow 4.
- Days of rest before the match: Vladivostok 6, Spartak Moscow 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow | 2.4–2.9 | |
| Vladivostok to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 41% | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 59% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vladivostok
- Vladivostok goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Lada4:3 OT
- 07.10away · Magnitogorsk0:3
- 05.10away · Magnitogorsk5:2
- 03.10away · SKA St. Petersburg5:6 SO
- 01.10away · Cherepovets4:3 SO
- 14.10away · Khabarovsk2:1
- 09.10away · Sochi2:0
- 07.10away · Sochi5:2
- 04.10Barys Astana3:4 SO
- 02.10Magnitogorsk0:2
Head to head
- 26.02.2026Spartak Moscow — Vladivostok6:3
- 17.10.2025Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow3:4 SO
- 18.11.2024Spartak Moscow — Vladivostok6:1
- 21.10.2024Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow4:3 OT
- 22.10.2023Vladivostok — Spartak Moscow3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 7, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Shanghai | 12 | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 16 | Dynamo Moscow | 16 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 17, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Vladivostok | 14 | 5 | -4 | 13 |
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
KHL on the same day
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- 44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
- 53471The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
- 40602The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:44.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →