Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Atmane T. — Tomic B.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:1Missed
Atmane T.70%
Tomic B.30%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Atmane T. to win (70%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 70% fails in about 30 matches out of 100 on average.

Atmane T. are clear favourites: 70% against 30% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Atmane T. 1566, Tomic B. 1535.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Atmane T. games
  • Tomic B. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Atmane T.

  • 24.09Faria J.1:2

Tomic B.

  • 23.09Sun F.0:2
  • 22.09Te R.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Tomic B.Skatov T.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →