Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Tseng C. H. — Mejia N.

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Model prediction and result

0:1Came true
Tseng C. H.41%
Mejia N.59%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Mejia N. to win (59%), came true.

Mejia N. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

Over 23.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Tseng C. H. 1362, Mejia N. 1425.

Probabilities

Games over 23.551%
Games under 23.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Tseng C. H. games
  • Mejia N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Tseng C. H.

No past matches in the data yet.

Mejia N.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zheng M.Mejia N.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →