Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Daniel T. — Mochizuki S.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Daniel T.48%
Mochizuki S.52%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Mochizuki S. to win (52%), came true.

Evenly matched: Daniel T. 48%, Mochizuki S. 52%.

Over 22.5 games — 46%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Daniel T. 1451, Mochizuki S. 1441.

Probabilities

Games over 22.546%
Games under 22.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Daniel T. games
  • Mochizuki S. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Daniel T.

  • 28.09Vallejo D.0:2
  • 25.09Marozsan F.1:2
  • 24.09Sweeny D.2:0
  • 23.09Matsuoka H.2:0
  • 22.09Delaney Ja.2:0

Mochizuki S.

  • 28.09Faria J.0:2
  • 24.09Damm M.0:2
  • 23.09Kotov P.2:0
  • 22.09Xiao L.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Safiullin R.Mochizuki S.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →