Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

De Minaur A. — Hurkacz H.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
De Minaur A.63%
Hurkacz H.37%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (63%), came true.

De Minaur A. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 23.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: De Minaur A. 1787, Hurkacz H. 1736.

Probabilities

Games over 23.547%
Games under 23.553%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Hurkacz H. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

De Minaur A.

  • 04.10Rublev A.2:1
  • 03.10Halys Q.2:1
  • 01.10Navone M.2:0

Hurkacz H.

  • 04.10Khachanov K.2:0
  • 02.10Gea A.2:1
  • 01.10Tien L.2:1
  • 29.09Davidovich Fokina A.0:2
  • 28.09Shapovalov D.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Djokovic N.De Minaur A.6 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • Hurkacz H.Duckworth J.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →