Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Fritz T. — Munar J.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Fritz T.76%
Munar J.24%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Fritz T. to win (76%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 76% fails in about 24 matches out of 100 on average.

Fritz T. are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 53%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fritz T. 1829, Munar J. 1632.

Probabilities

Games over 22.553%
Games under 22.547%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fritz T. games
  • Munar J. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Fritz T.

No past matches in the data yet.

Munar J.

  • 29.09Kovacevic A.2:0
  • 28.09Giron M.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Munar J.Faria J.2 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • Arnaldi M.Fritz T.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →