Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Etcheverry T. M. — Tsitsipas S.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Etcheverry T. M.14%
Tsitsipas S.86%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Tsitsipas S. to win (86%), came true.

Tsitsipas S. are clear favourites: 86% against 14% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Etcheverry T. M. 1460, Tsitsipas S. 1728.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Etcheverry T. M. games
  • Tsitsipas S. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Etcheverry T. M.

  • 25.09Jacquet K.0:2

Tsitsipas S.

  • 29.09Hijikata R.2:0
  • 28.09Nishioka Y.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Vacherot V.Tsitsipas S.2 October · ATP · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Svrcina D.Etcheverry T. M.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 86% will not happen in roughly 14 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →