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Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Munar J. — Faria J.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Munar J.52%
Faria J.48%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Munar J. to win (52%), came true.

Evenly matched: Munar J. 52%, Faria J. 48%.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Munar J. 1645, Faria J. 1631.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Munar J. games
  • Faria J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Munar J.

  • 01.10Fritz T.2:1
  • 29.09Kovacevic A.2:0
  • 28.09Giron M.2:1

Faria J.

  • 01.10Fery A.2:1
  • 29.09Vallejo D.1:2
  • 28.09Mochizuki S.2:0
  • 25.09Gaston H.1:2
  • 24.09Atmane T.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Munar J.Jacquet K.4 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Gea A.Faria J.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Vacherot V.Tsitsipas S.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Molcan A.Khachanov K.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Medvedev D.Carreno-Busta P.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Jacquet K.Darderi L.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Fils A.Tiafoe F.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Hurkacz H.Gea A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Bu Y.Djokovic N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →