Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

De Minaur A. — Navone M.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
De Minaur A.76%
Navone M.24%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, De Minaur A. to win (76%), came true.

De Minaur A. are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: De Minaur A. 1802, Navone M. 1601.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • De Minaur A. games
  • Navone M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

De Minaur A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Navone M.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • De Minaur A.Halys Q.3 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Navone M.Carreno-Busta P.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →