Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Fruhvirtova L. — Samsonova L.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Fruhvirtova L.24%
Samsonova L.76%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Samsonova L. to win (76%), came true.

Samsonova L. are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Fruhvirtova L. 1482, Samsonova L. 1681.

Probabilities

Games over 21.548%
Games under 21.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Fruhvirtova L. games
  • Samsonova L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Fruhvirtova L.

  • 30.09Bai Z.2:0
  • 29.09Lazaro Garcia A.0:2
  • 28.09Ye S.2:1
  • 22.09Sakkari M.0:2

Samsonova L.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Muchova K.Samsonova L.4 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →