Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Halys Q. — Blockx A.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Halys Q.47%
Blockx A.53%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Blockx A. to win (53%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 53% fails in about 47 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Halys Q. 47%, Blockx A. 53%.

Over 24.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Halys Q. 1576, Blockx A. 1611.

Probabilities

Games over 24.550%
Games under 24.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Halys Q. games
  • Blockx A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Halys Q.

  • 07.10Wong C.2:0
  • 03.10De Minaur A.1:2
  • 01.10Buse I.2:0
  • 26.09Safiullin R.1:2

Blockx A.

  • 30.09Vacherot V.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zverev A.Halys Q.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →