Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, qualifying, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Hong S. C. — Sakamoto R.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Hong S. C.24%
Sakamoto R.76%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Sakamoto R. to win (76%), came true.

Sakamoto R. are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Hong S. C. 1502, Sakamoto R. 1446.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Hong S. C. games
  • Sakamoto R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Hong S. C.

No past matches in the data yet.

Sakamoto R.

  • 30.09Arnaldi M.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Jacquet K.Sakamoto R.6 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →