Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Hurkacz H. — Khachanov K.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Hurkacz H.55%
Khachanov K.45%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Hurkacz H. to win (55%), came true.

Hurkacz H. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Hurkacz H. 1731, Khachanov K. 1682.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Hurkacz H. games
  • Khachanov K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Hurkacz H.

  • 02.10Gea A.2:1
  • 01.10Tien L.2:1
  • 29.09Davidovich Fokina A.0:2
  • 28.09Shapovalov D.2:1
  • 27.09Harris L.2:0

Khachanov K.

  • 02.10Molcan A.2:0
  • 30.09Auger-Aliassime F.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • De Minaur A.Hurkacz H.5 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Khachanov K.Fery A.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →