Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Khachanov K. — Fery A.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Khachanov K.56%
Fery A.44%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Khachanov K. to win (56%), came true.

Khachanov K. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 22.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Khachanov K. 1678, Fery A. 1599.

Probabilities

Games over 22.552%
Games under 22.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Khachanov K. games
  • Fery A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Khachanov K.

  • 04.10Hurkacz H.0:2
  • 02.10Molcan A.2:0
  • 30.09Auger-Aliassime F.2:0

Fery A.

  • 07.10Cilic M.2:0
  • 01.10Faria J.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Khachanov K.Mannarino A.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →