Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Kecmanovic M. — Mensik J.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Kecmanovic M.25%
Mensik J.75%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Mensik J. to win (75%), came true.

Mensik J. are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Kecmanovic M. 1545, Mensik J. 1750.

Probabilities

Games over 22.548%
Games under 22.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Kecmanovic M. games
  • Mensik J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Kecmanovic M.

  • 07.10Shimabukuro S.2:0
  • 28.09Mannarino A.1:2
  • 24.09Basilashvili N.0:2

Mensik J.

  • 03.10Cerundolo F.0:2
  • 01.10Bublik A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Cerundolo F.Mensik J.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →