Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Krueger A. — Li A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Krueger A.50%
Li A.50%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Krueger A. to win (50%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 50% fails in about 50 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Krueger A. 50%, Li A. 50%.

Over 23.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Krueger A. 1625, Li A. 1622.

Probabilities

Games over 23.551%
Games under 23.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Krueger A. games
  • Li A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Krueger A.

  • 01.10Kenin S.2:0

Li A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Bencic B.Li A.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • Preston T.Krueger A.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →