Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Vekic D. — Zhu L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Vekic D.51%
Zhu L.49%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Vekic D. to win (51%), came true.

Evenly matched: Vekic D. 51%, Zhu L. 49%.

Over 23.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vekic D. 1600, Zhu L. 1594.

Probabilities

Games over 23.551%
Games under 23.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vekic D. games
  • Zhu L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vekic D.

  • 22.09Wang Xin.0:2

Zhu L.

  • 01.10Parks A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Vekic D.Swiatek I.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.17.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →