Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Monday, 5 October, MSK

Bencic B. — Li A.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Bencic B.73%
Li A.27%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Bencic B. to win (73%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 73% fails in about 27 matches out of 100 on average.

Bencic B. are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

Over 20.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Bencic B. 1826, Li A. 1631.

Probabilities

Games over 20.548%
Games under 20.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Bencic B. games
  • Li A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Bencic B.

  • 03.10Zakharova A.2:0

Li A.

  • 03.10Krueger A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Li A.Svitolina E.7 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Kartal S.Bencic B.14 October · WTA · Wuhan · live
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:221.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.17.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.17.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →