Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Siniakova K. — Svitolina E.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Siniakova K.25%
Svitolina E.75%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Svitolina E. to win (75%), came true.

Svitolina E. are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Siniakova K. 1668, Svitolina E. 1858.

Probabilities

Games over 21.549%
Games under 21.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Siniakova K. games
  • Svitolina E. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Siniakova K.

  • 01.10Linette M.2:0

Svitolina E.

  • 27.09Noskova L.0:2
  • 26.09Paolini J.2:0
  • 24.09Minnen G.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Sakkari M.Svitolina E.5 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.20.5
  • Siniakova K.Samsonova L.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.17.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →