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Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Nakashima B. — Humbert U.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Nakashima B.55%
Humbert U.45%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Nakashima B. to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.

Nakashima B. are slightly stronger: 55% against 45%.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Nakashima B. 1737, Humbert U. 1700.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Nakashima B. games
  • Humbert U. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Nakashima B.

No past matches in the data yet.

Humbert U.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Humbert U.Lehecka J.3 October · ATP · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Berrettini M.Nakashima B.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5

ATP on the same day

  • Faria J.Fery A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • Darderi L.Ruud C.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Fritz T.Munar J.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • De Minaur A.Navone M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Etcheverry T. M.Tsitsipas S.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • Rune H.Jacquet K.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • Lehecka J.Bergs Z.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →