Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Humbert U. — Lehecka J.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Humbert U.43%
Lehecka J.57%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Lehecka J. to win (57%), came true.

Lehecka J. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 24.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Humbert U. 1686, Lehecka J. 1739.

Probabilities

Games over 24.552%
Games under 24.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Humbert U. games
  • Lehecka J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Humbert U.

  • 01.10Nakashima B.2:0

Lehecka J.

  • 01.10Bergs Z.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Lehecka J.Vallejo D.4 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • Gea A.Humbert U.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →