Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Rune H. — Jacquet K.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Missed
Rune H.79%
Jacquet K.21%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Rune H. to win (79%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 79% fails in about 21 matches out of 100 on average.

Rune H. are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Rune H. 1804, Jacquet K. 1524.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Rune H. games
  • Jacquet K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Rune H.

No past matches in the data yet.

Jacquet K.

  • 28.09Rublev A.0:2
  • 27.09Marozsan F.2:0
  • 25.09Etcheverry T. M.2:0
  • 23.09Vukic A.2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Jacquet K.Darderi L.2 October · ATP · Tokyo
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Rune H.Altmaier D.7 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →