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Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Friday, 2 October, MSK

Jacquet K. — Darderi L.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Jacquet K.37%
Darderi L.63%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Darderi L. to win (63%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 63% fails in about 37 matches out of 100 on average.

Darderi L. are clear favourites: 63% against 37% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Jacquet K. 1561, Darderi L. 1656.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Jacquet K. games
  • Darderi L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Jacquet K.

  • 01.10Rune H.2:0
  • 28.09Rublev A.0:2
  • 27.09Marozsan F.2:0
  • 25.09Etcheverry T. M.2:0
  • 23.09Vukic A.2:1

Darderi L.

  • 01.10Ruud C.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Munar J.Jacquet K.4 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Darderi L.Tsitsipas S.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Munar J.Faria J.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • Vacherot V.Tsitsipas S.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Molcan A.Khachanov K.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • Medvedev D.Carreno-Busta P.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Fils A.Tiafoe F.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Hurkacz H.Gea A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Bu Y.Djokovic N.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →