Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Wednesday, 30 September, MSK

Struff J-L. — Tirante T. A.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Struff J-L.36%
Tirante T. A.64%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Tirante T. A. to win (64%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 64% fails in about 36 matches out of 100 on average.

Tirante T. A. are clear favourites: 64% against 36% for the opponent.

Over 24.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Struff J-L. 1599, Tirante T. A. 1696.

Probabilities

Games over 24.551%
Games under 24.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Struff J-L. games
  • Tirante T. A. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Struff J-L.

No past matches in the data yet.

Tirante T. A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Medvedev D.Struff J-L.3 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Tirante T. A.Medjedovic H.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →