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Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Medvedev D. — Struff J-L.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Medvedev D.80%
Struff J-L.20%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Medvedev D. to win (80%), came true.

Medvedev D. are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Medvedev D. 1823, Struff J-L. 1587.

Probabilities

Games over 22.550%
Games under 22.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Medvedev D. games
  • Struff J-L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Medvedev D.

  • 02.10Carreno-Busta P.2:0
  • 29.09Rublev A.2:0
  • 28.09Safiullin R.2:0
  • 27.09Wong C.2:1
  • 26.09Royer V.2:0

Struff J-L.

  • 30.09Tirante T. A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Medvedev D.Cerundolo F.4 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Landaluce M.Struff J-L.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • Shapovalov D.Tabilo A.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • De Minaur A.Halys Q.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • Alcaraz C.Arnaldi M.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • Rublev A.Safiullin R.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • Berrettini M.Vallejo D.
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Humbert U.Lehecka J.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Zverev A.Shang J.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Cerundolo F.Mensik J.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →