Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Van De Zandschulp B. — Cerundolo F.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Came true
Van De Zandschulp B.49%
Cerundolo F.51%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Cerundolo F. to win (51%), came true.

Evenly matched: Van De Zandschulp B. 49%, Cerundolo F. 51%.

Over 25.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Van De Zandschulp B. 1657, Cerundolo F. 1718.

Probabilities

Games over 25.548%
Games under 25.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Van De Zandschulp B. games
  • Cerundolo F. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Van De Zandschulp B.

  • 29.09Cui J.2:0
  • 28.09Royer V.2:1
  • 25.09Basilashvili N.0:2

Cerundolo F.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Cerundolo F.Mensik J.3 October · ATP · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • Van De Zandschulp B.Merida Aguilar D.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →