Tennis: ATP, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 3 October, MSK

Cerundolo F. — Mensik J.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Cerundolo F.41%
Mensik J.59%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Mensik J. to win (59%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.

Mensik J. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

Over 24.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Cerundolo F. 1697, Mensik J. 1760.

Probabilities

Games over 24.552%
Games under 24.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Cerundolo F. games
  • Mensik J. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Cerundolo F.

  • 01.10Van De Zandschulp B.2:1

Mensik J.

  • 01.10Bublik A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Medvedev D.Cerundolo F.4 October · ATP · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • Kecmanovic M.Mensik J.9 October · ATP · Shanghai
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.25.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.19.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →