Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Friday, 9 October, MSK

Zhou Y. — Musetti L.

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Model prediction and result

2:1Missed
Zhou Y.21%
Musetti L.79%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Musetti L. to win (79%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 79% fails in about 21 matches out of 100 on average.

Musetti L. are clear favourites: 79% against 21% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zhou Y. 1436, Musetti L. 1739.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zhou Y. games
  • Musetti L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Zhou Y.

  • 07.10Bellucci M.2:1
  • 28.09Carreno-Busta P.0:2
  • 24.09Cerundolo J. M.0:2

Musetti L.

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Hurkacz H.Zhou Y.11 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 79% will not happen in roughly 21 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →