Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Alianza FC — Internacional de Bogotá
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Alianza FC are slightly stronger: 44% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alianza FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alianza FC — Internacional de Bogotá What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Alianza FC not to lose | 72% | |
| Internacional de Bogotá not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alianza FC
- Alianza FC goals
- Internacional de Bogotá goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Águilas Doradas2:2
- 03.10away · Deportivo Cali1:3
- 28.09away · CD Jaguares2:1
- 20.09Santa Fe1:4
- 16.09away · Chicó FC2:1
- 11.10away · Junior FC2:2
- 05.10Once Caldas1:1
- 27.09away · Deportivo Pereira0:0
- 21.09away · Bucaramanga0:2
- 17.09Atlético Nacional2:3
Head to head
- 13.04.2026Internacional de Bogotá — Alianza FC2:1
- 25.10.2025Alianza FC — Internacional de Bogotá2:0
- 03.05.2025Internacional de Bogotá — Alianza FC0:2
- 02.11.2024Internacional de Bogotá — Alianza FC3:2
- 15.04.2024Alianza FC — Internacional de Bogotá0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza FC | 13 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | -5 | 11 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- América de CaliCúcutapreliminary6423141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.7
- Once CaldasDeportivo Pereirapreliminary6423131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Fortaleza FCDeportivo Calipreliminary353135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →