Paraguayan Primera Division · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Luqueño — Sportivo San Lorenzo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Luqueño are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Luqueño are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Luqueño — Sportivo San Lorenzo What is xG? | 1.5–0.7 | |
| Luqueño not to lose | 84% | |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Luqueño
- Luqueño goals
- Sportivo San Lorenzo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Cerro Porteño0:3
- 05.10away · Sportivo Trinidense2:3
- 25.09Guaraní0:1
- 21.09Recoleta1:0
- 13.09away · Olimpia0:3
- 10.10Sportivo Trinidense1:1
- 03.10away · Guaraní1:1
- 28.09Recoleta0:0
- 20.09Olimpia0:3
- 11.09away · Sportivo Ameliano0:1
Head to head
- 09.08.2026Sportivo San Lorenzo — Luqueño0:2
- 17.05.2026Sportivo San Lorenzo — Luqueño0:0
- 14.03.2026Luqueño — Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 4030311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →