Paraguayan Primera Division · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Olimpia — 2 de Mayo

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Model prediction for 22 October

Olimpia61%
Draw24%
2 de Mayo15%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Olimpia are clear favourites: 61% against 15% for the opponent, draw 24%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Olimpia are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Olimpia — 2 de Mayo What is xG?1.7–0.8
Olimpia not to lose85%
2 de Mayo not to lose39%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.544%
Total under 2.556%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Olimpia
  • Olimpia goals
  • 2 de Mayo goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Olimpia

  • 11.10away · Rubio Ñú0:0
  • 07.10Nacional (PAR)1:1
  • 29.09away · Libertad1:0
  • 20.09away · Sportivo San Lorenzo3:0
  • 13.09Luqueño3:0

2 de Mayo

  • 12.10Sportivo Ameliano1:0
  • 06.10away · Cerro Porteño2:0
  • 26.09away · Rubio Ñú2:2
  • 19.09away · Nacional (PAR)0:3
  • 12.09Libertad0:2

Head to head

  • 09.08.20262 de Mayo — Olimpia1:0
  • 29.03.2026Olimpia — 2 de Mayo4:1
  • 29.01.20262 de Mayo — Olimpia1:1
  • 27.11.2025Olimpia — 2 de Mayo3:3
  • 07.09.20252 de Mayo — Olimpia3:2

Full record: 11 meetings →

Paraguayan Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →